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McCain, Gore hold leads in New Hampshire tracking poll

By Keating Holland/CNN

January 23, 2000
Web posted at: 3:15 p.m. EST (2015 GMT)

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Arizona Sen. John McCain currently has a 42 percent to 33 percent advantage over Texas Gov. George W. Bush among voters who are likely to participate in the New Hampshire Republican primary, according to a new CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll, with Steve Forbes at 13 percent and Alan Keyes at 7 percent.

On the Democratic side, Al Gore has a 52 percent to 43 percent edge over Bill Bradley among likely Democratic primary voters.

One reason for McCain's lead: his favorable rating is higher than Bush's and a majority of likely GOP primary voters say that McCain is in touch with the average American and is someone they can trust. Three-quarters of GOP voters, however, think that Bush has a better chance of winning in November than McCain does.

If Forbes or Keyes do well in Iowa, they will have the advantage of facing friendly voters in the Granite State. Forbes' favorable rating is 52 percent; Keyes is viewed favorably by nearly as many.

As for the Democrats, Bradley's favorable rating is higher than Gore's even though fewer Democratic voters say they will support him. One reason: Democratic voters appear to be supporting Gore for pragmatic reasons. They think that Gore is more likely than Bradley to get things done in Washington, to keep the economy strong, and to win in November.

Most think that Gore would do a better job with education than Bradley, and by a smaller margin also prefer the Vice President's approach to health care.

The poll is based on interviews with 457 likely Democratic primary voters and 591 likely Republican primary voters. It was conducted January 20-22.

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
Gore52%
Bradley43%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Choice for Nominee
McCain42%Keyes7%
Bush33%Hatch1%
Forbes13%Bauer1%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 FavorableUnfavorable
Bradley81%11%
Gore77%20%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 FavorableUnfavorable
McCain82%14%
Bush69%27%
Forbes52%40%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 FavorableUnfavorable
Keyes48%30%
Hatch33%39%
Bauer27%39%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Important Differences Between the Candidates on...
 YesNo
Issues50%44%
Personal qualities42%54%
Asked of likely Democratic primary voters
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Important Differences Between the Candidates on...
 YesNo
Issues54%41%
Personal qualities50%44%
Asked of likely Republican primary voters
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 McCainBush
In touch with people58%26%
Someone you trust50%26%
Vision for the future45%34%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 McCainBush
Can win in November18%73%
Can handle economy34%45%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 GoreBradley
Can win in November66%26%
Can get things done60%25%
Can handle economy54%25%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Likely Voters' Opinion of Candidates
 GoreBradley
In touch with people34%49%
Someone you trust34%39%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Who Has Best Tax Plan
Forbes33%
McCain28%
Bush23%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

Who Has Best Plan for...
 VeteransOthers
Education51%33%
Health care44%40%
Sampling error: +/-4% pts

ELECTION 2000

With two days before caucuses, presidential candidates make final lap of Iowa (1-22-99)

Candidates in final push before Monday's Iowa caucus (1-21-99)

Presidential hopefuls stump Iowa with lowered expectations (1-20-99)

Bush, McCain continue to snipe over tax cuts, but is anybody listening? (1-19-99)

Bush, McCain battle in N.H. as other candidates search for Iowa votes (1-18-99)

Candidates battle over Confederate flag ahead of S.C. protest (1-17-99)

MORE HEADLINES



VIDEO

Watch selected policy speeches and campaign commercials from the major presidential candidates.



THE STATES

Who are your elected officials? What is the past presidential vote and number of electoral votes in your state? Find out with these state political and election facts.



WHAT'S AT STAKE

What's at stake in Election 2000
Senate Overview
House Overview
Governors Overview



CANDIDATE BIOS

Quick takes on the White House hopefuls.



CALENDAR

See how quickly the primary and caucus season will take off with this calendar.



WHO'S IN-WHO'S OUT

Who is running, who isn't running and who has already dropped out? Check out our tally sheet.



RACES

If you need to know who's up in 1999 or 2000 and what seats are open launch this quick guide.



POLLS

Check out the latest numbers or dig back into the poll archives.



FOLLOW THE MONEY

How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.



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MESSAGE BOARDS

Democratic Presidential Primary

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TIME THIS WEEK

What would candidate Christ do?

The Gore-Bradley battle gets personal as the race heats up. But what are the real differences between them?

Campaign diary with Al Gore

When does money matter?



'TOONS
Fast talker

Bill Mitchell: Fast talker (1-12-00) More 'toons on the analysis page




MORE STORIES:

Sunday, January 23, 2000


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