Poll: New Hampshire provides Gore with 13-point bounce over Bradley

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- The results of the New Hampshire primary have had a mild effect on the Republican presidential race and a noticeable effect in the Democratic contest, according to a new poll conducted by CNN and Time.

On the Democratic side, Al Gore has padded his lead over Bill Bradley by 13 points, largely by wooing undecided voters and convincing Democrats that he is a strong leader and a winner. Gore has grown more popular with Democrats since January, while Bradley's favorable rating has stalled.

CNN and Time, which conducted the poll after the New Hampshire primary, interviewed 1,257 adult Americans -- including 1,005 registered voters. Of those, 444 were registered Democrats and 395 were registered Republicans. The survey was conducted on February 2 and 3.

In the GOP race, McCain has shaved a few points from George W. Bush's lead, but Bush still has a comfortable 54 percent to 28 percent lead among registered Republicans nationwide.

There is little change in the general election match-ups, with Gore still losing to Bush and still tied with McCain.

What effect does a win in New Hampshire have on the victorious candidates? The number of registered Democrats who think Gore can beat the GOP nominee in November has zoomed from 54 percent in January to 67 percent today, (while the number who think Bradley can win has dropped 15 points).

More Democrats also think that Gore is inspiring and a strong leader, while Bradley's numbers on those characteristics have dropped.

McCain's New Hampshire victory has had a similar effect on registered Republicans. For the first time, a majority of Republicans nationwide believe that McCain can win in November, and the number of registered GOP voters who find him inspiring and a strong and decisive leader has also increased.

The bottom line: McCain's favorable rating has grown by 13 points, but Bush is still better known and better-liked by GOP voters nationwide.

Hillary Clinton running for Senate

A majority of Americans say that Hillary Rodham Clinton should run for the U.S. Senate from New York, and they will see that happen on Sunday afternoon when Clinton officially throws her hat into the ring.

Would Americans vote for her if she were running for Senate in their state? 29 percent say they would definitely vote for her and another 28 percent would consider doing so. But four in 10 say they would definitely not vote for her.

Asked of registered Republicans If you were asked to vote for a Republican nominee for president today, which of the following Republicans would you vote for?

Now Jan. 12-13

Bush 54% 61%

McCain 28% 16%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Republicans If you were asked to vote for a Republican nominee for president today, which of the following Republicans would you vote for?

Bush 54%

McCain 28%

Keyes 5%

Forbes 3%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Democrats If you were asked to vote for a Democratic nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for?

Now Jan. 12-13

Gore 61% 48%

Bradley 21% 26%

Undecided 18% 26%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered voters Suppose the election for president in the year 2000 was being held today, and you had to choose between Vice President Al Gore, a Democrat, or Arizona Sen. John McCain, a Republican. For whom would you vote, McCain or Gore?

Now Jan. 12-13

McCain 46% 47%

Gore 45% 47%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

Asked of registered voters Suppose the election for president in the year 2000 was being held today, and you had to choose between former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley, a Democrat, or Arizona Sen. John McCain, a Republican. For whom would you vote, McCain or Bradley?

Now Jan. 12-13

McCain 46% 43%

Bradley 40% 47%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

Asked of registered voters Suppose the election for president in the year 2000 was being held today, and you had to choose between Vice President Al Gore, a Democrat, or Texas Gov. George W. Bush, a Republican. For whom would you vote, Bush or Gore?

Now Jan. 12-13

Bush 50% 50%

Gore 42% 45%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

Asked of registered voters' Suppose the election for president in the year 2000 was being held today, and you had to choose between former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley, a Democrat, or Texas Gov. George W. Bush, a Republican. For whom would you vote, Bush or Bradley?

Bush 50% 51%

Bradley 41% 42%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

Asked of registered Republicans Next, I'm going to read you the names of people in the news today. Please tell me whether you have favorable or generally unfavorable impressions of each, or whether you are not familiar enough to say one way or another.

John McCain

Now Jan. 12-13

Favorable 63% 50%

Unfavorable 9% 11%

Unsure 28% 39%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

George W. Bush, John McCain

Bush McCain

Favorable 80% 63%

Unfavorable 9% 9%

Unsure 11% 28%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Republicans Do you think the following does or does not apply to John McCain?

Can McCain Win in November?

Now Jan. 12-13

Yes 55% 49%

No 24% 25%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Republicans Do you think the following does or does not apply to John McCain?

Now Jan. 12-13

Sincere 74% 67%

Cares about people 71% 65%

Inspiring 58% 52%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Republicans Do you think the following applies or does not apply to George W. Bush and John McCain?

Bush McCain

Cares about people 80% 71%

Can win in November 79% 55%

Sincere 79% 74%

Inspiring 64% 58%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Democrats Next, I'm going to read you the names of people in the news today. Please tell me whether you have favorable or generally unfavorable impressions of each, or whether you are not familiar enough to say one way or another.

Vice President Al Gore

Now Jan. 12-13

Favorable 78% 71%

Unfavorable 10% 14%

Unsure 12% 15%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Gore Bradley

Favorable 78% 45%

Unfavorable 10% 11%

Unsure 12% 34%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Bill Bradley

Now Jan. 12-13

Favorable 45% 48%

Unfavorable 45% 13%

Unsure 34% 39%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Democrats Do you think the following does or does not apply to Al Gore?

Can Gore Win in November?

Now Jan. 5-6

Yes 67% 54%

No 18% 32%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Democrats Do you think the following does or does not apply to Bill Bradley?

Can Bradley Win in November?

Now Jan. 5-6

Yes 27% 42%

No 50% 36%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Democrats Do you think the following does or does not apply to Al Gore?

Is Gore a Strong Leader?

Now Jan. 5-6

Yes 62% 56%

No 28% 35%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Asked of registered Democrats Do you think the following does or does not apply to Bill Bradley?

Is Bradley a Strong Leader?

Now Jan. 5-6

Yes 42% 52%

No 29% 27%

Sampling error: +/-5% pts

Thinking of Hillary Rodham Clinton, would you like to see her run for the United States Senate?

Yes 52%

No 40%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

If Hillary Rodham Clinton were running for the U.S. Senate in your state, would you definitely vote for her, consider voting for her, or not vote for her under any circumstances?

Definitely would 29%

Consider it 28%

Definitely would not 40%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Clinton is handling his job as president?

Approve 64%

Disapprove 32%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

How well do you think things are going in the country these days?

Well 80%

Poorly 17%

Sampling error: +/-3% pts

ELECTION 2000
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Poll: New Hampshire provides Gore with 13-point bounce over Bradley

Bush maintains nationwide lead over McCain

By Keating Holland/CNN

Hillary Clinton running for Senate

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Friday, February 4, 2000